Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN.com, is in his fourth season with The Post’s Bettor’s E book. His handicapping pieces seem in VSiN’s online magazine, Level Unfold Weekly.
Tennessee Titans (+7.5) over LOS ANGELES RAMS:
The come line used to be genuine Rams -4 final week before both teams won on Sunday. It then used to be reopened at Rams -6.5. I was a itsy-bitsy taken aback at that adjustment, nonetheless then it used to be launched Tennessee RB Derrick Henry had suffered a potentially season-ending foot ruin. The line then jumped the main assortment of seven to Rams -7.5.
Oddsmakers and the final public overreact to quarterback injuries and regulate the lines too grand. Right here, they’re doing it for a working support. I’m a Henry fan, nonetheless we witness prime working teams at faculty and pro soccer budge in backups the total time and the backups attain genuine as well. I don’t attach a question to Jeremy McNichols or Adrian Peterson to establish up the same numbers as Henry, nonetheless I don’t think the fall-off will be as grand as most of us attach a question to. I’ll gladly engage the hook at 7.5 genuine in case the Rams attain remove by a landing, nonetheless I believe this line ought to peaceful be closer to 3 or 4, with the sport coming all the draw down to a field intention one methodology or the varied.
Denver Broncos (+10) over DALLAS COWBOYS
Searching at Vic Fangio and the Broncos are attempting to give away their 17-10 remove versus Washington final week, it’s laborious to support Denver, nonetheless I peaceful can’t withstand them as double-digit underdogs on this establish. The come line for this sport used to be genuine Cowboys -7.5 per week within the past, nonetheless then the Cowboys upset the Vikings (and a form of bettors) 20-16 on Sunday night time with Cooper Flee replacing Dak Prescott.
That’s going to attract a form of bandwagon jumpers and originate them a noteworthy extra public crew than they already are, notably with Prescott anticipated to return. Alternatively, the Broncos’ protection (even without the departed Von Miller) can dangle Dallas’ offense and retain it shut for Teddy Bridgewater to realize what he does easiest — quilt as an underdog.
Final week: 1-1. Patriots (W), Lions (L).